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With the Bush tax cuts set to expire, how much is it going to cost you? | The Mesh Report

With the Bush tax cuts set to expire, how much is it going to cost you?

The Stock Enthusiast July 30, 2010 2

In 2003, President Bush signed the Jobs and Growth Tax Relief Reconciliation Act, known to most of us as the “Bush tax cuts.”  Federal rates were lowered for individual tax rates, capital gains, dividends, and estate taxes.  These cuts are set to expire at the end of this year.  This is a hot topic that you will see plenty of people debating as we get closer to the November elections.

After 9/11 the US economy looked as if it was going to go into a major recession.  People were scared and saving more and spending less.  To spur growth the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, Alan Greenspan, dropped interest rates and the President was able to push tax cuts through Congress.  These actions prevented a significant recession in 2003 and led to enormous growth in the stock and the real estate market.

At this point we find the USA suffering from the Great Recession started in 2008.  We have already dropped interest rates as low as they can go and with our yearly deficit at an all time high, we are unable to cut taxes any further.  The question is should we repeal the Bush tax cuts amidst this challenged economy or leave them be?  The Left argues that with such a significant deficit we have no choice but to increase taxes.  The Right recognizes this deficit issue but favors taxes to be left alone and the Federal government to lessen spending.

In my opinion, the right answer is for the Bush tax cuts to remain intact while the American economy is struggling.  With an almost 10% unemployment rate, real estate prices dropping, possible deflation, and banks not lending, raising taxes right now is a death wish.  How can our economy, which is primarily based on consumerism, grow if the government is taking more money out of our pockets?  Raising taxes now would be like taking medicine away from a sick person.

The Left argues that taxes wouldn’t really be raised, they would just return to levels pre 2003.  This is true but during the late 90s and up until 9/11 our economy was growing by leaps and bounds due to the dot-com revolution.  Now our economy is barely breathing and its future is uncertain.

To keep you and your family healthy and happy you need to plan your economic future.  Though I hope the Bush tax cuts don’t expire at the end of the year, it’s important for you to know how it is going to affect your budget if they do.  Below are the tax rates pre and post 2003.  If your budget is tight already, I suggest you take out a calculator and figure out how many fewer dollars you could possibly have to spend.  This way you have prepared for the worst case tax scenario and if the tax rates stay the same, you’ll be happy and have some money saved.

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  • http://www.thetexasring.com Linda Brady Traynham

    Matt, a splendid presentation. Only a Statist could claim that “…that taxes wouldn’t really be raised, they would just return to levels pre 2003.” An expense one has not had for eight years certainly feels like a new one when if it is reinstated. Young men know the significance of their 26th birthdays! Ask the nearest 34-year-old if his car insurance returns to the levels before the presumed age of less likelihood to have accidents whether his rates were raised or not. How many have been caught in “bracket creep” since 2002? We can’t spend what the tax men take, and there are so many of them. Tax revenues are down roughly 20% already, and the higher withholding goes, the worse that figure will get.

  • Steven Foste

    Trying to compare the Great recession of 2008 with that of 2003 just doesn’t work for me. In mid 2003 the unemployment rate was only slightly above 6 Percent, and in most cases it unemployment wasn’t exteded out to 99 weeks, also the home values were rising with credit expasion as we all know, and outide of the Dot.com bust most Americans retained their jobs. Commercial construction took a hit as the fabulous wealth of the Dot.com bubble brought a halt to expansion whild the industry regrouped. We then entered a war in Iraq, with the assumption that we had whipped the Taliban, all poor assumptions as we all know.

    Low interest rates, credit expansion, tax cuts, People had jobs ant the dot.comes deleveraged to reality with sound growth once the irrational exuberance left the market.

    None of this is true today. This is a real depression where fundamental base of the Nation has collapsed. Auots, houseing, commercial, infrastructure projects, and private investment has vanished. The only game in town has been from government spending.

    This economy and the public has not finished the process of wiping out the inefficencies and the deleveraging process. Any increase in taxes will just prolong the problem and tax reciepts would continue to fall as the economy stagnates and unemployment remains around 10 percent. The Federal goverment will be stuck with more handouts and wreckless stimulus packages.

    Wages are not increasing, but prices are with the advent of additonal fees being added at the state level. If they were to let the Bush tax cuts expire, plus if they tax health insurance benifits to the individual provided by employer, in many case the tax bill for the average working American could increase as much as 15 to 20 percent.

    That money then is not available for economic recovery.